Adverse Blood Transfusion Outcomes: Establishing Causation

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The transfusion of allogeneic red blood cells (RBCs) and other blood components is ingrained in modern medical practice. The rationale for administering transfusions is based on key assumptions that efficacy is established and risks are acceptable and minimized. Despite the cliché that, “the blood supply is safer than ever,” data about risks and lack of efficacy of RBC transfusions in several clinical settings have steadily accumulated. Frequentist statisticians and clinicians demand evidence from randomized clinical trials (RCTs); however, causation for the recognized serious hazards of allogeneic transfusion has never been established in this manner. On the other hand, the preponderance of evidence implicating RBC transfusions in adverse clinical outcomes related to immunomodulation and the storage lesion comes from observational studies, and a broad and critical analysis to evaluate causation is overdue. It is suggested in several circumstances that this cannot wait for the design, execution, and conduct of rigorous RCTs. We begin by examining the nature and definition of causation with relevant examples from transfusion medicine. Deductive deterministic methods may be applied to most of the well-accepted and understood serious hazards of transfusion, with modified Koch's postulates being fulfilled in most circumstances. On the other hand, when several possible interacting risk factors exist and RBC transfusions are associated with adverse clinical outcomes, establishing causation requires inferential probabilistic methodology. In the latter circumstances, the case for RBC transfusions being causal for adverse clinical outcomes can be strengthened by applying modified Bradford Hill criteria to the plethora of existing observational studies. This being the case, a greater precautionary approach to RBC transfusion is necessary and equipoise that justifying RCTs may become problematic.

Section snippets

Drivers for an Evidence-Based Approach to Transfusion Practices and the Transition to Patient-Focused Blood Management

A fresh and comprehensive look at transfusion medicine in light of the available evidence rather than the assumptions has been long overdue. We believe that shifting the focus in transfusion medicine from supply centered to patient centric is essential, and it is being driven by 4 key factors.

Tackling the Association—Causation Challenge in Transfusion Medicine

To analyze the benefits and potential adverse outcomes of transfusions, it is important to first define “causation” as a scientific term.55 A cause is commonly defined as something that is necessary and/or sufficient to determine a specific outcome. This definition refers to what is known as deductive deterministic causation. Deterministic causation is historically based on Koch's postulates and applies in circumstances when transfusions are clearly and directly implicated. It should be noted

Applying Bradford Hill Criteria to Observational Data to Support a Causal Association Between RBC Transfusion and Adverse Clinical Outcomes

It is not questioned that allogeneic blood transfusions have risks and can cause serious adverse events. However, notwithstanding the cases of profound anemia and hemorrhage with impaired oxygen delivery to tissues, we argue that in most patients who are currently considered to be transfusion candidates, blood transfusions do not improve the outcomes and, conversely, cause worse clinical outcomes. The evidence comes from a multitude of mostly observational studies comparing the outcomes of

Problem-Based Transfusion Medicine

From the patient's perspective, the primary responsibility of clinicians is to manage the patient's own blood as a precious and unique resource that should not be wasted and to only consider allogeneic blood component therapy when there is no other option. This review, addressing issues surrounding the safety and efficacy of RBC transfusions for treating anemia, challenges dogmas long embedded in clinical practice regarded as standard of care. Central to problem-based transfusion medicine, in

Conclusions

We believe that it is no longer acceptable to maintain a laissez faire approach and assume the benefits and accept the risks of allogeneic blood transfusion. Evidence has accumulated questioning RBC transfusion efficacy and establishing transfusion as a contributing risk factor for adverse clinical outcomes in many clinical settings. Acknowledging that most available data are observational and that rigorous evidence to establish risks and benefits is needed, we should no longer accept

Conflicts of interest statements

James Isbister: Lecturing/consulting honoraria/travel support in last 5 years: NovoNordisk, CSL Bioplasma, Amgen Australia, Pall Australia. Chair: Haemostasis Register, Monash University Department of Epidemiology, unrestricted grant funding from NovoNordisk Chair: Advisory Committee and Board Member. Australian Red Cross Blood Service. Australian National Blood Authority: Member: Steering committee on blood measures and patient blood management.

Aryeh Shander: Consultant: Bayer, Luitpold,

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